Tropical system expected to form, strengthen over the Caribbean this weekend
A disturbance tracking south of Jamaica Wednesday morning – designated Invest 99L by the National Hurricane Center – is expected to organize into Tropical Storm Sara over the coming days and could strengthen into a powerful hurricane by this weekend as it hangs about off the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua.
Late-season tropical development likely in the Caribbean this week
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western Caribbean Sea in the next few days. The NHC gives the area a medium chance as conditions are favorable for gradual development. A tropical depression could form late this week or this weekend. The system is expected to move slowly westward.
US NHC says 80% chance of cyclone over central Caribbean Sea
A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea has an 80% chance of becoming a cyclone in the next 48 hours, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said on Wednesday.
Tropical update: Disturbance in the Caribbean has 90% chance of development over the next 7 days
Caribbean. Right now, the National Hurricane Center has an 90% chance of tropical development over the next seven days and a 70% chance over the next two days. This time of year, climatology favors an eventual north to northeast path.
Tropical wave in Caribbean now has 50% chance of formation, NHC says
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Watching for likely tropical development in the Caribbean
Starting this weekend, we'll be keeping an eye on an area in the Caribbean where a tropical depression is likely to form.
Odds of tropical development continue to grow in Caribbean Sea
Forecasters are tracking a tropical disturbance in the Caribbean Sea that is expected to develop later this week and strengthen into Tropical Storm Sara.
Tropical development possible again in the Caribbean
Once again we are watching the western Caribbean for possible development over the next few days. The NHC is up to 60% with that development chance over the next 7 days. Right now conditions do appear favorable for development in the same region we saw Rafael begin to take shape.
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